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Sunday, March 9, 2008

Asia Sidelined As Its Waits For Europe To Provide Movement

European Morning Update

Releases from Japan:

Forecast Actual
Japan - January 1.5430-72 1.0255-83
Machine Orders (MoM) +2.6% 19.6%
Machine Orders (YoY) - 4.5% 11.4%
Japan - February
Money Supply M2+CD (YoY) +2.1% +2.3%
Broad Liquidity (YoY) +3.5% +3.5%
Eco Watcher's Survey: Current 31.8 (prior) 33.6
Eco Watcher's Survey: Outlook 35.8 (prior) 39.5

Japan's machinery orders surged over January by a whopping 19.6% MoM and +11.4% YoY to swamp forecasts of a mere +2.6% and - 4.5% respectively. It is a very volatile series but the sheer size of the bounce is quite marked as the figure is often used as a leading indicator of corporate capital investment, which accounts for about 15% of Japan's gross domestic product. It will certainly raise some hopes that Q1 will still manage to provide a positive GDP. ....more

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